OpenPool · 129 Φ
Which city will host the next international climate summit?
Pool bonus · 4 Φ
Sydney 40 Φ · 32%
Istanbul 55 Φ · 44%
Another city 30 Φ · 24%
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Open markets
OpenPool · 332 Φ
Which country will win the 2027 Eurovision Song Contest?
Pool bonus · 17 Φ
Sweden 60 Φ · 19%
Italy 100 Φ · 32%
France 105 Φ · 33%
Another country 50 Φ · 16%
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OpenPool · 506 Φ
Will New York City have snow on the ground on Christmas Day 2027?
Resolves Yes if the official Central Park observation records at least 1 inch of snow depth on December 25. Snow falling without accumulating does not count.
Pool bonus · 121 Φ
Yes 205 Φ · 53%
No 180 Φ · 47%
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Awaiting resolution
Betting closedPool · 150 Φ
Will global electric car sales exceed 25 million in 2027?
Includes battery-electric and plug-in hybrid passenger cars. Resolves using the IEA's annual sales figures.
Pool bonus · 5 Φ
Yes 65 Φ · 45%
No 80 Φ · 55%
Betting closedPool · 158 Φ
Will Bitcoin trade above $150,000 before the end of 2027?
Pool bonus · 8 Φ
Yes 150 Φ · 100%
No 0 Φ · 0%
Betting closedPool · 231 Φ
Which country will win the 2027 Rugby World Cup?
Pool bonus · 11 Φ
South Africa 60 Φ · 27%
New Zealand 0 Φ · 0%
France 45 Φ · 20%
Ireland 35 Φ · 16%
Another country 80 Φ · 36%
Betting closedPool · 163 Φ
Will the next major Python release arrive before October 2027?
Pool bonus · 13 Φ
Yes 75 Φ · 50%
No 75 Φ · 50%
Resolved markets
Resolved · YesPool · 154 Φ
Will humans land on the Moon before the end of 2027?
At least one person must reach the lunar surface by December 31, 2027, 23:59 UTC. Crewed lunar flybys and orbital missions do not count.
Pool bonus · 4 Φ
Yes 75 Φ · 50%
No 75 Φ · 50%
Resolved · YesPool · 226 Φ
Did a European club win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?
Pool bonus · 26 Φ
Yes 100 Φ · 50%
No 100 Φ · 50%
Resolved · YesPool · 500 Φ
Did London record rain on New Year's Day in 2025?
Yes 250 Φ · 50%
No 250 Φ · 50%
Resolved · ApplePool · 277 Φ
Which company had the largest market capitalization at the end of 2024?
Pool bonus · 7 Φ
Apple 30 Φ · 11%
Microsoft 55 Φ · 20%
Nvidia 80 Φ · 30%
Alphabet 40 Φ · 15%
Amazon 65 Φ · 24%
Another company 0 Φ · 0%
Resolved · NvidiaPool · 528 Φ
Which company had the largest market capitalization at the end of 2025?
Pool bonus · 108 Φ
Apple 150 Φ · 36%
Microsoft 60 Φ · 14%
Nvidia 120 Φ · 29%
Alphabet 90 Φ · 21%
Resolved · NoPool · 165 Φ
Was 2025 the warmest year on record globally?
Yes 165 Φ · 100%
No 0 Φ · 0%
CancelledPool · 190 Φ
Will the next lunar mission launch on its scheduled date?
Yes 100 Φ · 53%
No 90 Φ · 47%
All stakes refunded.
Resolved · AnoraPool · 300 Φ
Which film won Best Picture at the 2025 Academy Awards?
Anora 220 Φ · 73%
The Brutalist 80 Φ · 27%
Conclave 0 Φ · 0%
Resolved · AustriaPool · 500 Φ
Which country won the 2025 Eurovision Song Contest?
Resolves to the country ranked first in the official grand final results, after any corrections.
Sweden 120 Φ · 24%
Austria 300 Φ · 60%
France 80 Φ · 16%
Finland 0 Φ · 0%